Forecasting child poverty in Scotland: a report for the Scottish Government

Publication type

Parliamentary Paper


Howard Reed and Graham Stark

Publication date


Landman Economics and Virtual Worlds were commissioned by the Scottish Government to produce four sets of projections for child poverty in Scotland, based on the targets set within the Child Poverty (Scotland) Act 2017.
This report describes the methods used to forecast child poverty and gives details of the results. It provides baseline projections of child poverty in Scotland if no action was to be taken. The projections take account of tax and benefit changes already announced by the UK and Scottish Governments.


Young People, Child Development, Households, Poverty, Public Policy, Income Dynamics, Finance and Social Policy



Referenced by: Understanding Society (2018) ‘Written evidence from Understanding Society the UK Household Longitudinal Study (WSN0051) [Work and Pensions Select Committee. Welfare safety net inquiry]’. London: Great Britain. Parliament. House of Commons. Work and Pensions Select Committee.